####018005078#### FNUS75 KMSO 241250 FWSMSO Spot Forecast for Frenchtown Face 109 National Weather Service Missoula MT 650 AM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on April 24. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...The burn site is forecast to experience southeast winds this morning, before winds shift to the west after 1200. Westerly wind gusts will develop between 1400-1500. The probability for wind gusts to reach 20 mph is around 50% between 1600-1700, with probabilities closer to 30% from 1300-1400 and 1700-1800 MDT. Humidity this afternoon is expected to be similar to slightly higher than yesterday and above 15%. A Pacific trough will bring widespread shower activity on Friday. There's a 70% chance of wetting rains (0.10") across the burn site and 30% chance for 0.25" rain. Low end rain amounts will be closer to 0.05" if lesser shower activity materializes than currently forecast. The main period for rain is from late Friday through Saturday afternoon, but shower chances remain for Sunday and Monday with less confidence on amounts. .REST OF TODAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Max Temperature.....65-70. * Min Humidity........16-21 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 2-5 mph becoming west 6-12 mph after 1200 MDT. Gusts of 15-20 mph after 1500 MDT. * Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl increasing to 7000 ft agl. * Mixing Winds........South 5 mph increasing to west 20 mph. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. TIME (MDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........8 26 23 59 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 Temp............39 52 64 67 RH..............55 40 28 23 20 FT wind......N 0 S 2G5 W 9G15 W 10G15 Mix hgt (ft)....500 2000 6000 6500 Transport wind..S 5 SW 5 W 15 W 20 .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Min Temperature.....36-41. * Max Humidity........65-70 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 5-10 mph in the evening and overnight becoming variable 2-5 mph. * Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in the evening. * Mixing Winds........West 15 mph decreasing to 5 mph overnight. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........76 68 63 51 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 Temp............64 54 48 42 RH..............24 38 51 61 20 FT wind......W 10G15 W 6G10 NW 5 NW 2G5 Mix hgt (ft)....5000 500 500 500 Transport wind..W 15 W 10 W 10 W 5 .THURSDAY... * Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. * CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent. * Chance Lightning....0 percent. * Max Temperature.....57-62. * Min Humidity........33-38 percent. * Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-5 mph becoming west 5-7 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusts 15-18 mph in the afternoon. * Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl increasing to 6000 ft agl in the late morning and afternoon. * Mixing Winds........West 10 mph increasing to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Precip Amount.......0.00 inches. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........37 57 66 74 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 Temp............39 44 54 57 RH..............70 60 46 40 20 FT wind......NW 2G5 W 3G5 W 6G10 W 7G10 Mix hgt (ft)....500 2000 4500 5500 Transport wind..W 5 W 10 W 10 W 15 $$ Forecaster...Kitsmiller Requested by...John Digiando Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412177.0/MSO .DELDT 04/24/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL john.digiando@usda.gov