####018005425#### FNUS73 KDMX 241313 FWSDMX Spot Forecast for McFarland Park...Story County Conservation National Weather Service Des Moines IA 813 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 24. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required. Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn. .DISCUSSION... Minimal fire weather concerns today. Winds will be light starting primarily out of the east northeast this morning, then switching to more easterly by mid day and southeasterly through the afternoon. Relative humidities will also bottom out around 25 to 30 percent this afternoon. The morning surface inversion will become fully mixed out around noon to 1 pm as well. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....Around 64. Min humidity........27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 8 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18300 knot-ft). GFDI................0. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........2 1 1 2 3 3 5 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............53 56 59 61 62 63 63 RH..............44 40 34 32 30 29 27 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.9 8 8 7 8 7 7 Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.2 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.5 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE E Transp wind spd.8 7 7 7 7 7 7 GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/100018 20 23 24 26 28 28 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Min temperature.....Around 42. Max humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (28600 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (3900 knot-ft) late in the night. GFDI................0. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........11 24 38 43 55 44 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............62 58 50 48 46 44 RH..............28 34 48 51 60 68 20 ft wind......SE 7 E 7 E 7 SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 20 ft wind gust.8 10 10 15 16 16 Mix hgt (ft)....4300 2900 400 400 500 500 Transport wind..SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 12 SE 14 SE 15 GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 Haines index....4 3 3 3 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/100028 22 4 5 5 6 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max temperature.....Around 67. Min humidity........41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 18 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 24 mph increasing to 25 to 26 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (100500 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (89400 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. GFDI................1. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........47 53 57 63 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............43 48 60 65 RH..............76 71 49 43 20 FT wind......SE 10G16 SE 14G20 SE 18G25 SE 20G28 Mix hgt (ft)....500 1600 3400 4500 Transport wind..SE 15 SE 20 SE 22 SE 25 GFDI............0 0 1 2 Haines index....4 4 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/10007 26 65 101 $$ Forecaster...Dodson Requested by...Brandon Clough Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412238.0/DMX .DELDT 04/24/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL bclough@storycountyiowa.gov ####018004008#### FNUS73 KMPX 241314 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Osceola Glade...NPS National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 814 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Skies will be mostly sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from west to east this afternoon. This will allow highs today to be in the mid to upper 50s. Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity values forecasted to be in the 40s this morning before dropping into the mid-low 30s by the afternoon. Winds will be light and generally southerly at 5-10 MPH. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Temperature.........37 at ignition...Max 57. RH..................65 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then shifting to the south late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor /12300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good /31300 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............37 42 46 48 51 54 55 56 57 56 55 52 RH..............65 53 45 46 41 38 37 35 34 35 38 41 20 FT wind dir..E SE SE SE S S S S S S S SE 20 FT wind spd..3 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 5 20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 8 7 Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.2 2.8 3.4 4.0 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.1 2.0 0.5 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW S SE Transp wind spd.8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 7 6 7 Haines index....3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Temperature.........Min 36. RH..................Max 67 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (30500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2900 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south 7 to 13 mph early in the evening. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Temperature.........Max 64. RH..................Min 33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (76600 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Dye Requested by...Brandon Ramirez Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412242.0/MPX .DELDT 04/24/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Brandon_Ramirez@nps.gov