####018002772####
FNUS76 KMFR 231745

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Alexis Fire Training...NOAA

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

1045 AM PDT Tue Apr 23 2024



Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0946 PDT on April 23. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...A weak system brings a chance for isolated to 

scattered thunderstorms today. The most likely time frame for

thunderstorms will be between 3 to 5 pm today. Light winds continue

until Wednesday afternoon when Westerly winds will pick up. An

incoming low pressure system Thursday will bring more significant

rain with a CWR increasing to 70-80% Thursday afternoon.



.REST OF TODAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly 

                    sunny. Chance of showers (30-40%) and

                    thunderstorms (20-30%) in the afternoon. 

Max temperature.....Around 70. 

Min humidity........40 to 44 percent. 

Wind (Lower Slopes).Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in 

                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected 

                    near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. 

Ridgetop wind.......South-southwesterly winds 7 to 11 mph in the afternoon.

CWR.................5-15 percent. 

LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. 

Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southwest 2 to 4 mph in 

                    the afternoon. 



.TONIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy. Chance (20-30%) of 

                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then

                    lowering to less than 5% later in the night.

Min temperature.....Around 50. 

Max humidity........85 to 88 percent. 

Wind (Lower Slopes).Drainage winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected 

                    near thunderstorms early in the evening. 

Ridgetop wind.......Southerly 2 to 5 mph.

CWR.................0 percent. 

LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1. 

Eye level winds.....Light and variable.



.WEDNESDAY...



Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 

Max temperature.....Around 66. 

Min humidity........56 to 60 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 3 to 6 mph in 

                    the afternoon. 

Ridgetop wind.......Light winds becoming west around 6 to 10 mph in

                    the afternoon.

CWR.................5 percent. 

LAL.................1. 

Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southwest around 2 to 3 mph

                    in the afternoon. 



$$

Forecaster...HERMANSEN

Requested by...Charles Smith

Type of request...WILDFIRE

.TAG 2400000.0/MFR

.DELDT 04/23/24

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL charles.z.smith@noaa.gov