####018008747#### FNUS71 KCTP 241506 FWSCTP Spot Forecast for Trophy Squirrel...PA DCNR Bureau of Forestry National Weather Service State College PA 1106 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 EDT on April 24. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in State College. .DISCUSSION... Scattered rain showers are expected to continue through this afternoon. Showers will diminish by tonight with rain-free conditions Thursday and Friday. Low humidity (<30% minRH) is expected in most areas on Thursday afternoon with a potential minRH floor around 10-15% based on the low end of the model forecast range. The wind will be light under the influence of a seasonably strong high pressure system dropping southward from northern Manitoba Canada. RH values will drop near or below 30% on Friday once again with winds occasionally gusting to 20mph. Milder temperatures and increasing moisture will preclude fire weather concerns this weekend. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of frost overnight. Areas of frost after 3 am. LAL.................No Tstms. Min Temperature.....Around 25. Max Humidity........71 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph. Mixing Height.......1100 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....North 10 to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................5 to 22. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%)........... 51 45 39 33 27 22 16 14 12 10 Weather Cov....... ARS ARS ARS Weather Type...... FST FST FST Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 40 38 36 34 32 31 29 28 27 26 RH................ 70 70 69 69 69 66 66 68 71 71 20 FT Wind Dir.... N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT Wind Spd.... 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT Wind Gust... 14 14 13 12 11 11 10 10 8 7 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 Transp Wind Dir... N N N N N N NE N NE N Transp Wind Spd... 16 15 15 14 14 13 12 10 10 10 LVORI............. 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI............... 22 17 17 17 9 9 9 5 5 5 Haines Index...... 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of frost early in the morning. LAL.................No Tstms. Max Temperature.....Around 56. Min Humidity........20 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph early in the morning. Mixing Height.......6200 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................14 to 19. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)........... 8 6 5 7 8 10 12 13 15 13 12 11 Weather Cov....... ARS Weather Type...... FST Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 26 27 30 34 38 42 46 49 53 54 55 56 RH................ 71 65 55 47 38 33 28 24 20 20 20 20 20 FT Wind Dir.... NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT Wind Spd.... 4 4 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT Wind Gust... 7 7 7 7 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.8 4.7 5.5 5.8 6.0 6.2 Transp Wind Dir... N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N Transp Wind Spd... 10 9 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 LVORI............. 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI............... 15 15 15 14 14 14 15 15 15 19 19 19 Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost after 3 am. LAL.................No Tstms. Min Temperature.....Around 30. Max Humidity........75 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing Height.......300 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the east around 6 mph after 3 am. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............3. ADI.................3 to 4. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%)........... 9 8 7 4 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 Weather Cov....... ARS ARS ARS Weather Type...... FST FST FST Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 53 50 47 44 41 38 36 34 32 31 31 30 RH................ 25 30 37 41 48 54 59 61 66 69 72 75 20 FT Wind Dir.... NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E 20 FT Wind Spd.... 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 20 FT Wind Gust... 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 4.3 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp Wind Dir... NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E Transp Wind Spd... 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI............... 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 Haines Index...... 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of frost early in the morning. LAL.................No Tstms. Max Temperature.....Around 59. Min Humidity........37 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 8 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then shifting to the south around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing Height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport Winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph shifting to the south 13 to 16 mph late in the morning. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. LVORI...............2 in the morning and early afternoon. ADI.................9 to 42 in the morning and early afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)........... 6 5 4 6 8 10 13 17 20 19 17 16 Weather Cov....... ARS Weather Type...... FST Tstm Cov.......... LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp.............. 32 34 36 41 45 50 52 55 57 57 58 58 RH................ 72 66 64 57 51 46 43 40 37 37 37 37 20 FT Wind Dir.... E E E SE SE S S S S S S S 20 FT Wind Spd.... 2 2 3 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT Wind Gust... 4 5 5 8 10 11 12 12 12 12 13 13 Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.6 0.8 1.0 2.1 3.2 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.8 Transp Wind Dir... E SE SE SE S S S S S S S S Transp Wind Spd... 7 7 8 9 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 LVORI............. 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 M M M M ADI............... 9 9 9 36 36 36 42 42 42 M M M Haines Index...... 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...Banghoff Requested by...Brian L Plume Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412288.0/CTP .DELDT 04/24/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL bplume@pa.gov