####018007399#### FNUS71 KALY 261006 FWSALY Spot Forecast for GMFL Beech Ridge and Stony Brook Rx...USFS National Weather Service Albany NY 606 AM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 26. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... High pressure centered over the region this morning will gradually shift east off the New England coast through tonight, bringing continued dry and cool weather. Minimum relative humidity values will be low today, but winds will be light. A warm front approaching from the west will move across the area and may bring some showers and a few thunderstorms Saturday night into Sunday. Warmer temperatures are expected early next week. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 57. Min humidity........21 percent. Dewpoint............17 increasing to 21 late in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Light winds. Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph shifting to the north around 6 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (33100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 4 4 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............32 39 42 47 49 52 54 56 57 55 Dewpoint........18 19 16 16 16 16 17 18 18 21 RH..............56 44 34 28 26 24 23 22 21 26 20 FT wind dir..E E E N W NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..2 2 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.6 3.7 4.7 5.4 5.8 6.0 6.4 6.6 6.1 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE N N N NW NW Transp wind spd.7 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 12 16 19 23 27 30 33 33 30 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 30. Max humidity........72 percent. Dewpoint............22. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Light winds. Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south around 6 mph after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21700 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............3. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............53 51 45 42 40 37 36 35 33 33 33 31 Dewpoint........21 21 24 24 24 24 24 23 22 23 22 23 RH..............28 30 43 48 52 59 61 61 63 66 63 72 20 FT wind dir..NW NW N NE NE E E E E SE SE S 20 FT wind spd..3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.5 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.NW N N N NE E E E SE SE S S Transp wind spd.6 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..22 11 2 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 63. Min humidity........29 percent. Dewpoint............27 increasing to 30 in the late morning and afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late in the morning. Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 6 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (48400 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........5 9 12 15 17 20 25 30 35 39 42 46 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............33 35 39 46 51 55 58 60 61 62 62 61 Dewpoint........25 26 27 29 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 RH..............72 69 62 51 44 38 34 32 31 30 29 31 20 FT wind dir..S SE S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.1 4.2 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.6 4.0 Transp wind dir.S S S S SW SW SW S S S S S Transp wind spd.6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 12 13 13 LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 2 4 11 21 29 36 42 45 48 48 44 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR $$ Forecaster...JPV Requested by...Ryan Hughes Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412543.0/ALY .DELDT 04/26/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL eric.hughes@usda.gov