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FNUS75 KREV 112129

FWSREV



Spot Forecast for Mill Canyon RX, MC2 & MC3...Forest Service, NV-HTF

National Weather Service Reno NV

229 PM PDT Sat May 11 2024



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 12. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National

Weather Service in Reno.



.DISCUSSION...



* Increased westerly breezes are expected each afternoon Sunday and

  Monday. 



* Driest conditions expected Sunday with RH values in the mid-upper

  teens. 



* There is a slight chance for afternoon-evening thunderstorms Sunday

  and Monday. Threats include frequent lightning as well as gusty and 

  erratic winds. 



.SUNDAY...



Sky/Weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy with a 10-15% 

                    chance of mostly dry thunderstorms between 1100 

                    and 2000 PDT. 

Temperature.........58-60 at ignition...Max 68-70. 

RH..................25-30% at ignition...Min 15-17%. 

20-Foot Winds.......Winds northeast at 2-5 mph at ignition...becoming 

                    southwest at 12-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph in

                    the afternoon. 

LAL.................1. 

Chc Wetting Rain....0%. 

Mixing Height.......6200-7200 ft agl. 

Transport Winds.....West 15-20 mph. 

Ventilation.........Good to very good. 

Haines Index........4. 



.SUNDAY NIGHT...



Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming clear. 

Temperature.........Min 41-43. 

RH..................Max 55-60%. 

20-Foot Winds.......West winds 7-9 mph in the evening becoming 

                    light. 

LAL.................1. 

Chc Wetting Rain....0%. 

Mixing Height.......600-800 ft agl overnight. 

Transport Winds.....West 10-15 mph in the evening becoming light. 

Ventilation.........Good to poor. 

Haines Index........3. 



.MONDAY...



Sky/Weather.........Sunny, then becoming mostly cloudy with a 15-20%

                    chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1100 

                    and 2000 PDT.

Temperature.........Max 70-72. 

RH..................Min 24-26%. 

20-Foot Winds.......North 3-7 mph in the morning, shifting to the 

                    southwest at 10-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the

                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near 

                    thunderstorms in the afternoon. 

LAL.................1 until 1100, then 2 until 2000 PDT. 

Chc Wetting Rain....0% increasing to 10% in the afternoon. 

Mixing Height.......6500-7500 ft agl. 

Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the 

                    morning, then shifting to the west 10-15 mph late 

                    in the afternoon. 

Ventilation.........Poor to very good. 

Haines Index........3. 



$$

Forecaster...Whitlam

Requested by...Matthew Gill

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2413749.0/REV

.DELDT 05/11/24

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL matthew.gill@usda.gov