####018006522#### FNUS71 KAKQ 030945 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for Furnace town RX unit W...Maryland forest service National Weather Service Wakefield VA 545 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 03. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... A backdoor cold front drops across the Eastern Shore this morning, leading to cooler temperatures and gusty east winds. Temps will stay around 60 today with RHs of 70-75%. Cloud cover will increase through the day and overnight. Similar conditions continue through Saturday. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 62. Min humidity........69 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 12 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (26600 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. ADI.................8 to 35. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........49 57 65 66 68 69 68 67 66 65 64 63 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............63 61 60 60 60 60 60 61 61 60 59 58 RH..............81 81 78 78 75 75 72 70 67 69 69 72 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 10 11 11 11 12 12 11 11 10 20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 16 19 19 19 20 20 19 19 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.12 14 15 17 17 18 20 20 20 20 20 18 LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.............8 14 16 19 21 25 31 35 33 32 31 30 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 7 10 13 15 18 21 24 27 26 25 23 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of rain overnight. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 51. Max humidity........93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 14 to 18 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18700 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (8700 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............5. ADI.................10 to 26. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........67 70 74 77 79 80 82 83 85 81 82 84 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RN RN RN RN Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 Temp............56 54 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 RH..............77 83 89 89 89 89 89 93 93 93 93 93 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..10 10 9 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 20 FT wind gust.16 16 15 14 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.18 17 16 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 15 LVORI...........3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 ADI.............26 15 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 13 13 10 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..19 14 10 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain early in the morning, then slight chance of drizzle early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 61. Min humidity........75 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 15 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (23200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. ADI.................11 to 28. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........85 87 91 92 90 88 Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC Weather type....RAIN DRZL DRZL DRZL NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............53 54 57 58 59 60 RH..............89 86 80 77 78 75 20 ft wind......E 7 E 7 E 9 E 10 E 10 E 10 20 ft wind gust.12 13 14 16 18 16 Mix hgt (ft)....700 800 1000 1200 1600 1400 Transport wind..E 15 E 15 E 15 E 16 E 16 E 17 LVORI...........5 5 3 3 3 3 ADI.............13 11 17 23 28 27 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 10 13 17 23 21 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR $$ Forecaster...MITCHELL Requested by...Lance Carroll Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413061.0/AKQ .DELDT 05/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Lance.Carroll@maryland.gov