####018001371####
FNUS76 KMFR 100250

FWSMFR



Spot Forecast for Jackson County Search and Rescue Summer X...Jackson County Sheriffs

National Weather Service MEDFORD OR

750 PM PDT Thu May 9 2024



Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 PDT on May 16. 

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Confidence is high in the forecast through Tuesday,

May 14th. Conditions will be slightly cooler early in the week.

At mid-week, Wednesday into Thursday, high pressure may 

strengthen and bring very warm, dry conditions, but a majority

(60%) of models still favor a broad trough moving southeast into 

the Pacific Northwest. This would bring an episode of westerly 

flow into the weekend with slightly above normal temperatures 

and a slight chance of rain. The probability of rain would be 

highest north of the area, and there is a slightly higher 

probability (compared to Thursday or Saturday) for a break between

systems with warmer temperatures on Friday.



.OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY MAY 17 THROUGH SUNDAY MAY 19...



Increased probabilities for above normal temperatures and near

normal precipitation.



=

$$

Forecaster...WEYGAND

Requested by...Chris Duran

Type of request...SAR

.TAG 2413352.1/MFR

.DELDT 05/09/24

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL ceduran@outlook.com

####018001973####
FNUS76 KMTR 100251

FWSMTR



Spot Forecast for Dalewood Piles...CA-MOR

National Weather Service San Francisco CA

751 PM PDT Thu May 9 2024



Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on May 10. 

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather

Service.



.DISCUSSION...Offshore flow will persist through Friday morning

before westerly onshore winds return Friday afternoon. Clear skies

tonight will lead to a nocturnal inversion, limiting vertical 

smoke dispersion until the temperature increases in the late 

morning. The best estimate for wind shift timing is that morning 

easterly winds will gradually shift to northerly by noon and 

westerly by 2 PM.



.FRIDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny. 

Max temperature.....82-86. 

Min humidity........32-36 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west 

                    5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. 

CWR.................0 percent. 

LAL.................1. 

Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....North around 8 mph. 

Marine layer........None. 



.FRIDAY NIGHT...



Sky/weather.........Clear. 

Min temperature.....53-57. 

Max humidity........76-80 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 

LAL.................1. 

Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph. 

Marine layer........None. 



.SATURDAY...



Sky/weather.........Sunny. 

Max temperature.....78-82. 

Min humidity........41-45 percent. 

Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph. 

CWR.................0 percent. 

LAL.................1. 

Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL. 

Transport winds.....West around 7 mph. 

Marine layer........None.



$$

Forecaster...D_FLYNN

Requested by...D Rein

Type of request...PRESCRIBED

.TAG 2413655.0/MTR

.DELDT 05/09/24

.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

.EMAIL drein@mofd.org