####018002281#### FNUS76 KOTX 231041 FWSOTX Spot Forecast for High Noon Rx 91/92...USFS National Weather Service Spokane WA 341 AM PDT Tue Apr 23 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on April 23. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Tuesday will be mild and dry. High clouds will increase in the afternoon into Tuesday night ahead of a weak dry cold front. This cold front will move over the burn project on Wednesday enhancing southwesterly winds with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. A better chance of rain will come late Thursday into Friday. There is a 85% chance for wetting rains (0.10" or greater) on Friday and a 50% chance of 0.5". Unsettled with additional showers into the weekend. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny filtered through thin high clouds. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....54. Min humidity........25-30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 1 to 3 mph becoming southeast 4 to 7 by 1300. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL between 1500-1700. Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 Very Low. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....35. Max humidity........55-60 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Downslope winds 1 to 3 mph. Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph. Haines Index........4 Low. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....54. Min humidity........34-39 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 4 to 9 mph increasing to 8 to 14 by 1400. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL between 1500-1700. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph increasing to 19 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 Very Low. $$ Forecaster...DB/SB Requested by...Adam Ackerman Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2411894.0/OTX .DELDT 04/23/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL adam.ackerman@usda.gov ####018008356#### FNUS71 KALY 231042 FWSALY Spot Forecast for GMFL Grout Pond A Rx...USFS National Weather Service Albany NY 642 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 23. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... High pressure will shift eastward today bringing partly to mostly sunny, breezy and milder weather with temperatures rising into the 60s with some upper 50s across the higher elevations. RH values will lower to 25 to 35 percent during the afternoon hours with southerly winds gusting to around 25 mph. A period of rainfall is expected tonight through Wednesday and may mix with or end as a brief period of snow across portions of the Adirondacks and southern Greens before ending. Dry weather then returns for Thursday and Friday with winds generally 5 to 15 mph both days. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 56. Min humidity........31 percent. Dewpoint............24 increasing to 27 late in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph increasing to around 22 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (107000 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (98100 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........4 7 11 14 14 13 12 17 22 27 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 Temp............36 42 48 50 52 53 54 55 55 54 Dewpoint........22 23 24 25 25 25 26 25 26 27 RH..............56 46 39 37 35 33 34 31 32 35 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 10 10 13 13 14 14 14 20 FT wind gust.13 14 14 15 15 17 17 18 17 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.8 3.2 4.4 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.2 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW S S S SW SW Transp wind spd.12 14 15 17 18 20 21 22 22 22 LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..8 24 46 66 81 93 100 107 108 98 Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers overnight. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................No Tstms after 2000. Min temperature.....Around 38. Max humidity........89 percent. Dewpoint............30. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 10 to 13 mph. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (69900 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1300 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............3. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.05 inches. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........32 36 41 52 63 74 78 82 86 89 92 95 Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 30 40 40 40 LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 Temp............52 49 47 45 44 42 41 41 40 40 40 39 Dewpoint........28 28 30 30 30 29 29 29 31 32 31 32 RH..............39 44 51 55 57 60 62 62 70 73 70 76 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.17 17 17 18 18 20 20 18 20 18 17 17 Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.20 16 14 14 15 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..70 35 8 1 5 10 9 8 8 7 7 8 Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers in the morning, then rain showers likely and chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. LAL.................No Tstms after 0800. Max temperature.....Around 43. Min humidity........58 percent. Dewpoint............34 increasing to 38 in the late morning and early afternoon, then decreasing to 33 late in the afternoon decreasing to 28 late in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 10 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest 15 to 16 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 18 to 25 mph late in the afternoon, then increasing to around 28 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (49800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............4. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Pcpn amount.........0.24 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........95 94 94 92 91 90 88 86 84 75 67 59 Weather cov.....CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RS SW SW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).50 70 80 70 70 70 60 60 60 50 40 30 LAL.............M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 M M 1 Temp............40 39 40 41 42 42 41 40 39 37 35 34 Dewpoint........33 34 36 38 39 40 38 37 35 33 31 28 RH..............76 82 85 89 89 93 89 89 85 85 85 78 20 FT wind dir..S S S S SW SW W W NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 10 12 12 13 13 15 16 16 16 20 FT wind gust.16 16 16 17 17 18 18 20 21 22 23 24 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.15 14 14 14 15 16 17 18 20 23 25 28 LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 Haines index....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 10 12 15 18 22 24 28 32 40 47 50 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR $$ Forecaster...Rathbun Requested by...Ryan Hughes Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2411788.1/ALY .DELDT 04/23/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL keith.sargent@usda.gov,eric.hughes@usda.gov