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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Local Statement Advisory Number 3

National Weather Service Wilmington NC  AL162023

1128 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2023



This product covers southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina



**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST 

NORTH CAROLINA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY** 



NEW INFORMATION

---------------



* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - None



* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal New Hanover, 

      Coastal Pender, Inland New Hanover, and Inland Pender



* STORM INFORMATION:

    - About 360 miles south-southeast of Wilmington NC or about 360 

      miles southeast of Myrtle Beach SC

    - 29.5N 75.3W

    - Storm Intensity 40 mph

    - Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 3 mph



SITUATION OVERVIEW

------------------



Potential Cyclone Sixteen off the Southeast U.S. coast will move northward

through Saturday, possibly becoming a tropical storm before likely

making landfall near Cape Lookout North Carolina. 



The primary hazards across southeast North Carolina and northeast

South Carolina are expected to be:



* Marine/Surf - hazardous marine and surf conditions along the entire

coast of northeast South Carolina and southeast North Carolina 



* Heavy Rain - heavy downpours could cause localized minor flooding of

roads and low-lying areas, mainly across eastern portions of southeast

North Carolina



* Winds - tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts, are likely,

especially along the coast north of Cape Fear 



* Coastal Flooding - minor coastal flooding possible, especially north

of Cape Fear during the Friday afternoon high tide



POTENTIAL IMPACTS

-----------------



* FLOODING RAIN:

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible 

significant impacts across mainly eastern portions of southeast North 

Carolina and far northeast South Carolina. 

Potential impacts include:

    - Moderate flooding from rainfall may prompt some evacuations and 

      rescues.

    - Rivers and streams may rise and overspill their banks in a few 

      places, especially in the typical prone locations. Small creeks 

      and ditches may overflow.

    - Flood waters may enter some structures. Underpasses, low-lying 

      spots along roadways, and poor drainage areas may become 

      submerged by rising water. Some secondary streets and parking 

      lots may flood as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

    - Driving conditions will become hazardous, and some road 

      closures can be expected.



Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible 

limited impacts across far inland southeast North Carolina and portions 

of the Pee Dee and Grand Strand in northeast South Carolina.



* WIND:

Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across 

southeast North Carolina, especially along the coast north of Cape Fear.

Potential impacts in this area include:

    - Unsecured lightweight objects may be blown about.

    - Some large limbs may break from trees. A few shallow rooted or 

      weak trees may snap or be knocked down.

    - Scattered power and communications outages are possible.



Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South 

Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.



* SURGE:

Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited 

impacts across coastal southeast North Carolina, mainly north of Cape 

Fear. Potential impacts in this area include:

    - Localized inundation and minor over-wash is possible, mainly 

      along immediate shorelines and other vulnerable low-lying areas 

      along the coast. Low spots along waterways and tidal creeks may 

      also be impacted.

    - Navigation may be difficult near inlets and waterways, as 

      navigational aids may be off station or missing.

    - Minor beach erosion possible.



Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South 

Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.



* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:

Hazardous surf conditions, including life-threatening rip currents,

are expected through Saturday along the entire southeast North Carolina

and northeast South Carolina coasts. 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

----------------------------------



* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to bring to completion all preparations to protect 

life and property in accordance with your emergency plan.



Outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as possible before 

weather conditions completely deteriorate. Any remaining evacuations 

and relocations should be expedited before the onset of tropical 

storm force wind.



Keep cell phones well charged and handy. Also, cell phone chargers 

for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. Locate your chargers 

and keep them with your cell phone.



Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for 

official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to 

the forecast.



* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:

- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov

- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org

- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org



NEXT UPDATE

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The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather 

Service in Wilmington NC around 530 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions 

warrant.



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