####018006621#### WTUS82 KILM 220950 HLSILM NCZ105>108-221800- Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Local Statement Advisory Number 4 National Weather Service Wilmington NC AL162023 550 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2023 This product covers southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina **TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Coastal New Hanover, Coastal Pender, Inland New Hanover, and Inland Pender * STORM INFORMATION: - About 310 miles south-southeast of Wilmington NC or about 320 miles southeast of Myrtle Beach SC - 30.5N 75.0W - Storm Intensity 50 mph - Movement North or 360 degrees at 14 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen off the Southeast U.S. coast will move northward through Saturday, possibly becoming a tropical storm before likely making landfall near Cape Lookout North Carolina. The primary hazards across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina are expected to be: * Marine/Surf - hazardous marine and surf conditions along the entire coast of northeast South Carolina and southeast North Carolina * Heavy Rain - heavy downpours could cause localized minor flooding of roads and low-lying areas, mainly across eastern portions of southeast North Carolina * Winds - tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts, are likely, especially along the coast north of Cape Fear * Coastal Flooding - minor coastal flooding possible, especially north of Cape Fear during the Friday afternoon high tide POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant impacts across southeast NC mainly east of I-95, and portions of coastal northeast SC including eastern Horry county. Potential impacts include: - Moderate flooding from rainfall may prompt some evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and streams may rise and overspill their banks in a few places, especially in the typical prone locations. Small creeks and ditches may overflow. - Flood waters may enter some structures. Underpasses, low-lying spots along roadways, and poor drainage areas may become submerged by rising water. Some secondary streets and parking lots may flood as storm drains and retention ponds overflow. - Driving conditions will become hazardous, and some road closures can be expected. Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited impacts along and west of I-95, as well as Marion, Williamsburg and Georgetown counties. * WIND: Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. Potential impacts include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes is possible. Unsecured lightweight objects may be blown about. - Some large limbs may break from trees. A few shallow rooted or weak trees may snap or be knocked down. Some fences and roadway signs damaged. - A few roads may become impassable due to debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded locations. Hazardous driving conditions are possible, especially for high profile vehicles on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages are possible. * SURGE: Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across coastal southeast North Carolina, mainly north of Cape Fear. Potential impacts in this area include: - Localized inundation and minor over-wash is possible, mainly along immediate shorelines and other vulnerable low-lying areas along the coast. Low spots along waterways and tidal creeks may also be impacted. - Navigation may be difficult near inlets and waterways, as navigational aids may be off station or missing. - Minor beach erosion possible. Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across southeast NC. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Tornadoes can cause damage to trees, vehicles, boats, and buildings. Unsecured mobile homes and poorly constructed structures are particularly vulnerable. Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated. * OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS: Hazardous surf conditions, including life-threatening rip currents, are expected through Saturday along the entire southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina coasts. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to bring to completion all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as possible before weather conditions completely deteriorate. Any remaining evacuations and relocations should be expedited before the onset of tropical storm force wind. Keep cell phones well charged and handy. Also, cell phone chargers for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. Locate your chargers and keep them with your cell phone. Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Wilmington NC around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. $$