####018003886#### AGUS76 KRSA 032200 HMDRSA Hydrometeorological Discussion National Weather Service / California Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA 130 PM PST Sun Mar 3 2024 ...SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER NRN CA... ...PRECIP POSSIBLE OVER SRN OR AND NRN CA AND NRN NV MONDAY THEN SPREADING SOUTH INTO CENTRAL CA TUESDAY AND SRN CA AND NV WEDNESDAY THEN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY... .METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (SUN PM - SAT AM)... Lingering showers into this evening as the cool upper level trough moves through the region. Isolated thunderstorms possible mainly over Nrn CA. Increased amounts over Nrn CA a little for this afternoon and evening. Precip amounts will be variable with the showers. Precip should taper off overnight into Monday morning. Precip amounts through tonight generally less than half an inch except around 0.5-1.5 inches is expected on the NW CA coast and along the Nrn and Central Sierra. Freezing levels around 2500 ft near the ORCA border and around 3500 ft near I-80 and around 6000 ft for the Srn Sierra and 5000-7000+ over Srn CA this afternoon will lower to around 1500-2000ft near the ORCA border and around 3000 ft near I-80 and 4500 ft over the Srn Sierra overnight. A low moving south along the B.C. coast today moves inland into the Pac NW Monday into Tuesday. Another low over the Eastern Pacific moves to around 140W and 40N on Monday and approaches the CA coast around 130W 38N Tuesday afternoon and moves South along the CA Coast on Wednesday and onshore into Srn CA/Baja Thursday morning. Although the models differ in the track and timing of this low for low confidence in precip amounts and coverage. Precip will mainly be over Srn OR and Nrn CA and NV on Monday and spreading south into Central CA Tuesday and into Srn CA and Srn NV Wednesday. Precip amounts for Monday through Wednesday are currently forecast to be around 2-4 inches for the NW CA coast (around Cape Mendo and North) and 1-2 inches for Shasta Basin and Nrn Sierra and - .5-1.5 inches for the Russian Basin and Central Sierra and 0.25-1 inch for Central Ca coast and generally half an inch or less for Srn Sierra and Central Valley and Nrn NV (except up to 0.75 inches over higher mtns in Nrn NV). Generally decreased amounts for Monday and Tuesday over Nrn and Central CA and increased along the Central and Srn Ca coast Wednesday into Wednesday night. High pressure from the Eastern Pacific builds into the region Thursday into Friday for drier conditions. A few lingering showers possible over Srn CA and Srn NV during the day Thursday. A system approaches the CA coast late Friday which may bring some light precip to the Nrn Ca coast and west slope of Srn OR Cascades and into the Shasta Basin Friday night. Freezing levels generally around 3000 ft near ORCA border and 4000 ft near I-80 and 6000 ft for the Srn Sierra on Monday and rise to around 4500 ft near ORCA border and 5500 ft near I-80 and 7000 ft for the Srn Sierra Tuesday and rise to around 5000-7000 ft on Wednesday and 7000 ft and higher Friday. Max temperatures forecast to be around 5 to 20 degrees below normal today and Monday then near normal to 15 degrees below normal for mid- week. Overnight temperatures around 5 to 15 degrees below normal for Srn OR and Nrn CA and near normal to 10 degrees below normal for most of NV and Central and Srn CA Sunday morning and below normal to around 15 degrees for most of the region Monday morning and near normal for Tuesday through Friday mornings (except north up to 15 degrees below normal on Wednesday and Thursday mornings). QPF graphics are available at www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/qpf.php Osborne $$