####018007436#### FQZA31 FAPR 161230 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 16TH OF APRIL 2024 AT 13:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 162200 TO 172200 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. DURBAN EAST: NE 35 in the extreme south-west, until the morning. SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z ===================== High 1028 hPa 39s38e. Low 1012 hPa 35s04e. Cold Front: 20s10w, 25s00e, 30s04e into (1012 hPa)35s04, cont. 40s06e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE 10 to 15. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers in places in the extreme west. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : SE 10 to 15 but S to SW 05 to 10 in the extreme east at times. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : SE to E 10 to 20 but SW 10 to 15 in the south-west, spreading eastwards towards mid-period and become W to NW 15 to 25. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-western half, with possible thundershowers in the north-west. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 10 in the south-west, otherwise SE to S 10 to 20. VIS : Good. TRISTAN (30S/40SE, 00E/20W): WIND : NW 15 to 25 but W to SW 15 to 25 in the central and western parts, reaching 30 at times in the extreme south-west during the first half-period. VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places, but good in the extreme north-east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the central and southern parts, reaching 5.0m in the extreme south-west but 5.5m in the first of the period, SW swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north-east and NE 10 to 15 in the south-east at first, otherwise SW to W 10 to 15 but NW 15 to 25 in the extreme west spreading to the central parts in the second half of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the west. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : Anti-cyclonic 05 to 10 in the east, otherwise NE to N 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the extreme north-west. It will become SW to W 10 to 20 in the extreme west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers in places in the central parts. SEA STATE: 3.0m SW swell in the extreme south-east in the first half of the period, but 3.0m NE swell in the extreme west. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : S 15 in the extreme south-east at first, otherwise SE to E 15 to 25 but NE 15 to 25 in the extreme south-west reaching 30 to 35 at times, until the morning. VIS : Moderate in showers in the central and eastern parts, otherwise good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme north-central parts, SE swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : Variable 05 in the central parts at times, otherwise SE to S 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the extreme south-east and north-east at times. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0m to in the extreme south-east reaching 3.5m at times in the first half-period, SE swell. MADAGASCAR EAST: WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the central and northern parts at times. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0 in places in the east-central, S to SE swell. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : SW to W 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 in the extreme south in the first half-period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the extreme south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m SW to W swell in the south and east, reaching 4.5m in the extreme south-east at first, subsiding from the west towards the end of the period. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE: 24/04/16 at 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here.). PART 1: WARNING: - Gale force 8 expected soon over south-eastern WAM and southern AMS. - Gale force 8 over CRO and expected, locally Strong Gale force 9 over north-eastern. - Gale force 8 over KER and expected over north-eastern KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSYS, 24/04/16 at 0000 UTC: - Cold front (CF) over far north-eastern AMS moving eastward. - Cold front (CH) over north-eastern CRO moving north-eastward. - High area over north-western WAM, then over WAM, western CRO and north- western AMS. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS from 16/04/24 at 0600 UTC to 17/04/24 at 0600UTC: WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E): Rains and frontal showers CH over eastern. Scattered showers elsewhere. WIND: South-West or West 4 to 6 from northern to southern, locally 7 over south-eastern increasing soon 7 to 8 over south-eastern, decreasing 4 to 6 at end. Severe gusts. SEA : rough to very rough. from north to south zone, becoming soon high over south-eastern. S or SW swell, 2 to 3 meters, increasing at end, 3 to 5.50 meters over south-eastern. VIS : poor in precipitations. AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E): Rains, showers and squalls in frontal areas, at times thundery in CF and CH. WIND: West 4 to 6 from north-eastern to south-western locally 7 in south zone, increasing soon West or South-West 6 to 7 locally 8. Severe gusts. SEA : rough to very rough from north to south zone, becoming High over south-western soon. SW swell, 3 to 5 meters. VIS : poor in precipitations. CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E): Rains and frontal showers CH over Eastern. Then showers, snowy showers over southern at end. WIND: South-West 7 to 8 locally 9 over Eastern, decreasing soon 6 over western, decreasing later 6 to 7 locally 5 over north-west. Severe gusts. SEA : very rough to high. SW swell, 3 to 5.5 meters. VIS : poor to very poor in precipitations. KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E): Rains, showers and squalls at times thundery in CH. WIND: North-West or West 6 to 7 locally 5 behind CH, locally 8 over north-western and north-eastern. Severe gusts. Then soon, South- West 7 or 8 over western. SEA : very rough, high over western soon. W or SW swell, 3 to 5.5 meters. VIS : poor to very poor in precipitations.