####018005563#### FQZA81 FAPR 300830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.EAST OF 20E. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 30th OF APRIL 2024 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 301000 TO 011000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. CAPE EAST: N to NW 35 to 40 in the south-east. 2. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW 35 to 40 in places in the north-east. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1020 hPa 30s58e. Low 1010 hPa 34s32e AREA FORECAST: ============== CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 in the extreme west, otherwise N to NW 15 to 25, reaching 35 to 40 in the south-east, becoming SE 20 to 25 in the south-central parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the north-west, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south-east, SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 15 to 25 in the east until mid-period, otherwise N to NW 10 to 20, becoming S to SW 10 to 20 in the extreme south- west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-east from mid-period, SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the extreme north, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme north. MADAGASCAR EAST: WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the extreme north, but NE 10 to 15 in the extreme south. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers, but good in the extreme south. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the north-east, reaching 35 to 40 in places, otherwise S to SW 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the extreme south. It will become SE 20 to 25 in the north-west by mid- period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers, but good in the south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, SW swell, but NW in the north-east where it reach 5.0 to 6.0m. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE: 24/04/30 at 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here.). PART 1: WARNING : - Gale force 8 expected over WAM. - Strong gale force 9 running over KER. - Strong gale force 9 expected over CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSYS, 24/04/30 at 0000 UTC : - Cold front (CF) over far eastern KER, finishing evacuating, moving quickly eastward. Associated low 957 near 60S/69E. Secondary cold front axis 47S/67E, 51S/67E, 53S/66E moving quickly eastward and evacuating by south-eastern KER later. - Waving front (CH) over CRO soon, then over western KER at end. - High 1022 near 32S/51E moving east-north-eastward. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS from 30/04/24 at 0600 UTC to 01/05/24 at 0600UTC : WAM (30S/40S,50E/65E) : Few showers. WIND: anticlockwise 2/4 over northern, but W 4/6 over southern. Becoming NW 4/7 from north-east to south-west, locally 8 over far southern. Severe gusts. SEA : rough to very rough over northern, but very rough or high over southern and crossed. SW swell 5 to 7 m over southern, but 3 to 5 m over northern. VIS : mainly good. AMS (30S/40S,65E/80E) : Few showers. WIND: anticlockwise 3/5 over northern, but W 5/6 over southern decreasing soon 4/5. Veering NW over south-western and increasing 5/7 with gusts. SEA : rough over northern becoming gradually very rough, but very rough to high over southern and crossed. SW swell 5 to 7 m over southern, but 3 to 5 m over northern. VIS : mainly good. CRO (40S/50S,50E/65E) : Showers, then soon frontal rain, showers and squalls with CH from western area. WIND: W 5/8 from north to south, backing NW 7/9, then SW 6/8 locally 9 behind CH. Severe gusts. SEA : high to very high and crossed, becoming very rough to high later. SW swell 6 to 9 m decreasing gradually 4 to 6 m. VIS : poor or very poor in precipitations. KER (40S/50S,65E/80E) : Frontal showers and rain with CF over far eastern at first. Showers elsewhere, but frontal showers and squalls with CG. Frontal rain, showers and squalls with CH at end over western area. WIND: W 6/8 from north to south, locally 9 over far southern, decreasing 5/7 from north to south. Backing later NW 6/8 and increasing 7/9 at end. Severe gusts. SEA : high to very high and crossed. SW swell 7 to 9 m decreasing 5 to 7 m at end. VIS : poor or very poor in precipitations.####018007623#### FQZA31 FAPR 300830 WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 30th OF APRIL 2024 AT 08:30 UTC. FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 301000 TO 011000 UTC: WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE FORCE WARNINGS: ==================== 1. TRISTAN : Cyclonic 35 in places in the north-west at first. 2 CAPE WEST: W to NW 35 in the extreme north-west by the end of the period. 3. CAPE EAST: N to NW 35 to 40 in the south-east. 4. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW 35 to 40 in places in the north-east. SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z ===================== High 1020 hPa 30s58e. Low 1000 hPa 34s13w Low 988 hPa 43s03e Low 988 hPa 44s12e Low 1010 hPa 34s32e 1. Cold front: 34s08e 39s14e 44s14e into 44s12e. AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W): WIND : E to SE 10 to 20. VIS : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/00N): WIND : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 15 in the extreme east. VIS : Good. ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W): WIND : Variable 05 to 15 in the north-east, otherwise W to NW 15 TO 25, but S to SW 15 to 25 in the south-west, spreading to the south-east by the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in places in the south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south, reaching 4.5m in the extreme south, S to SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST): WIND : Variable 05 to 10 over the central parts, otherwise S to SE 10 to 15, but 15 to 25 in the south-west. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west, S to SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40SE, 00E/20W): WIND : Cyclonic 15 to 25 in the north-west at first, reaching 35 in places, otherwise S to SE 15 to 25, but W to NW 15 to 25 in the east, reaching 30 in the south-east at first, becoming SW 15 to 25 in the south-central parts from mid-period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain, clearing in the west towards mid-period. SEA STATE: 3.5 to 4.5m, reaching 5.0m in the south-east at first and in the north-west until mid-period, S to SE swell, but SW in the north-west. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E): WIND : W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 35 in the extreme north-west by the end of the period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain, but good in the north. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the south-west at first, W to NW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E): WIND : W to SW 15 to 25 in the extreme west, otherwise N to NW 15 to 25, reaching 35 to 40 in the south-east, becoming SE 20 to 25 in the south-central parts towards the end of the period. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the north-west, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south-east, SW swell. DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E): WIND : N to NE 15 to 25 in the east until mid-period, otherwise N to NW 10 to 20, becoming S to SW 10 to 20 in the extreme south- west towards the end of the period. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-east from mid-period, SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : S to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the extreme north, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west. VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the extreme north. MADAGASCAR EAST: WIND : E to SE 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the extreme north, but NE 10 to 15 in the extreme south. VIS : Moderate in showers and thundershowers, but good in the extreme south. MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E): WIND : N to NW 20 to 30 in the north-east, reaching 35 to 40 in places, otherwise S to SW 15 to 25, reaching 30 in the extreme south. It will become SE 20 to 25 in the north-west by mid- period. VIS : Moderate to poor in showers, but good in the south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, SW swell, but NW in the north-east where it reach 5.0 to 6.0m. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE: 24/04/30 at 0500UTC AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the averages given here.). PART 1: WARNING : - Gale force 8 expected over WAM. - Strong gale force 9 running over KER. - Strong gale force 9 expected over CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSYS, 24/04/30 at 0000 UTC : - Cold front (CF) over far eastern KER, finishing evacuating, moving quickly eastward. Associated low 957 near 60S/69E. Secondary cold front axis 47S/67E, 51S/67E, 53S/66E moving quickly eastward and evacuating by south-eastern KER later. - Waving front (CH) over CRO soon, then over western KER at end. - High 1022 near 32S/51E moving east-north-eastward. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS from 30/04/24 at 0600 UTC to 01/05/24 at 0600UTC : WAM (30S/40S,50E/65E) : Few showers. WIND: anticlockwise 2/4 over northern, but W 4/6 over southern. Becoming NW 4/7 from north-east to south-west, locally 8 over far southern. Severe gusts. SEA : rough to very rough over northern, but very rough or high over southern and crossed. SW swell 5 to 7 m over southern, but 3 to 5 m over northern. VIS : mainly good. AMS (30S/40S,65E/80E) : Few showers. WIND: anticlockwise 3/5 over northern, but W 5/6 over southern decreasing soon 4/5. Veering NW over south-western and increasing 5/7 with gusts. SEA : rough over northern becoming gradually very rough, but very rough to high over southern and crossed. SW swell 5 to 7 m over southern, but 3 to 5 m over northern. VIS : mainly good. CRO (40S/50S,50E/65E) : Showers, then soon frontal rain, showers and squalls with CH from western area. WIND: W 5/8 from north to south, backing NW 7/9, then SW 6/8 locally 9 behind CH. Severe gusts. SEA : high to very high and crossed, becoming very rough to high later. SW swell 6 to 9 m decreasing gradually 4 to 6 m. VIS : poor or very poor in precipitations. KER (40S/50S,65E/80E) : Frontal showers and rain with CF over far eastern at first. Showers elsewhere, but frontal showers and squalls with CG. Frontal rain, showers and squalls with CH at end over western area. WIND: W 6/8 from north to south, locally 9 over far southern, decreasing 5/7 from north to south. Backing later NW 6/8 and increasing 7/9 at end. Severe gusts. SEA : high to very high and crossed. SW swell 7 to 9 m decreasing 5 to 7 m at end. VIS : poor or very poor in precipitations.