####018002478#### FLUS44 KTSA 232145 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 445 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241015- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 445 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024 ...SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL INCREASES LATER THIS WEEK... ...FRIDAY AND SATURDAY GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Limited. AREA...South of I-44. ONSET...After 6 PM. DISCUSSION... There is a low (20-30%) chance for thunderstorms in association with a cold front this evening and overnight to the south of I-44 as the boundary moves south. Severe weather is not expected. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. THURSDAY THRU SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind...Heavy Rain Potential. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm...High Wind...Heavy Rain Potential. MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... An active weather pattern is expected from the middle of the work week into the weekend. Several rounds of strong to severe storms are expected, including locally heavy rainfall. The highest chances for severe weather are forecast for Friday and Saturday. Depending on how things evolve in the coming days, there is potential for high-impact severe weather, including tornadoes. Thunderstorm chances will persist into Sunday with a continued threat for severe weather, mainly across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT... Continue to closely monitor the latest forecast concerning the severe weather potential this week, especially Friday and Saturday. Specific severe weather threats and timing will continue to be refined over the next several days. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$