####018001058####
FXXT13 EGRR 151611



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-WEST PACIFIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 15.04.2024



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 22.8N 121.2E



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 17.04.2024   48  23.2N 122.0E     1006            31

    0000UTC 18.04.2024   60  23.6N 123.3E     1007            31

    1200UTC 18.04.2024   72  24.2N 126.6E     1006            31

    0000UTC 19.04.2024   84  23.0N 126.8E     1009            22

    1200UTC 19.04.2024   96              CEASED TRACKING





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 151611####018000488####
FXXT12 EGRR 151611



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 15.04.2024





 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP

 IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT 168 HOURS





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 151611####018000841####
FXXT11 EGRR 151611



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR SOUTH PACIFIC AND

                 SOUTH-EAST INDIAN OCEANS



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 15.04.2024



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 22.1S 171.7E



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 22.04.2024  168  21.9S 172.3E     1003            35





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 151611####018000068####
FXXT04 EGRR 151611

XX, 99, 2024041512, NO ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES####018001116####
FXXT03 EGRR 151611



 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-WEST PACIFIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.04.2024



             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS

                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 22.8N 121.2E



  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY

  --------------     --------     --------        --------

 12UTC 17.04.2024  23.2N 122.0E     WEAK

 00UTC 18.04.2024  23.6N 123.3E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 18.04.2024  24.2N 126.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 00UTC 19.04.2024  23.0N 126.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 12UTC 19.04.2024        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE

 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.

 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 151611