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FXUS01 KWBC 021937

PMDSPD



Short Range Forecast Discussion

NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD

337 PM EDT Thu May 02 2024



Valid 00Z Fri May 03 2024 - 00Z Sun May 05 2024



...The active weather pattern to continue across the Central to

Southern Plains with potential for additional severe weather,

heavy rains and flash flooding...



...Wetter weather pattern for the Ohio Valley into the

Mid-Atlantic, along with cooler weather...



...Strong front to move into the Pacific Northwest and northern

California this weekend producing widespread heavy precipitation

and late season mountain snows...



The recent active spring weather pattern across large portions of

the central U.S. expected to continue over the next few days.  A

surface frontal boundary currently stretching from the Southern

Plains into the Great Lakes and a second front forecast to sink

southward from the Central Plains into the Southern Plains will be

the focus for the potential for additional showers and

thunderstorms.  Severe weather is possible across portions of the

Central to Southern Plains near these fronts, along with heavy

rains and localized flash flooding.  Flood watches are currently

in effect across portions of southern Oklahoma, eastern Texas into

northwest Louisiana.  Moderate to major river flooding is

occurring across these area from recent heavy rains, with

additional heavy rain potential possibly exacerbating ongoing

flooding conditions.  While conditions have been wet across the

Central to Southern Plains toward the Mid to Lower Mississippi

Valley of late, drier conditions have persisted farther to the

east.  Some relief from the recent dry weather across the east on

tap over the next few days with some much needed rains falling

from the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. Cooler temperatures

also expected for the late week and into the weekend across

portions of the Northeast into the Mid-Atlantic.  Record high

temperatures across portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley

on Thursday will replaced with much cooler temperatures from a

combination of cloud cover, rainfall and winds blowing off the

still cool western Atlantic.



A strong cold front will be pushing inland into the Pacific

Northwest late Friday and into northern California on Saturday. 

This front will be producing some late season heavy precipiation

totals across much of northern California, north through the

Oregon Cascades, southern Washington Cascades and from the Olympic

Range of Washington, southward along the Washington and Oregon

coasts.  Late season snows are possible through the Oregon and

Washington Cascades and the northern to Central Sierra Range with

accumulations in excess of a foot possible across the northern

Sierra.  In addition to the heavy precipitation and late season

snows associated with this strong front, temperatures will be much

below average across much of the West coast on Saturday with highs

10 to 20 degrees colder than average. These colder than average

temperatures are expected to persist through Sunday while also

spreading farther inland into the Great Basin and portions of the

Southwest.



Oravec





Graphics available at

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php



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