####018004746#### FSUS46 KLOX 062242 QPSLOX Quantitative Precipitation Forecast National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 236 PM PST Thu Feb 06 2025 Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour increments until 0400 followed by 6-hour increments until 1600. Thunderstorm chances cover up to 1600 on day 1 only. Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an inch are shown as lgt. The discussion covers the period from: Thu Feb 06 2025 through Wed Feb 12 2025. && 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16 San Luis Obispo County... LSRC1:Cambria 0.2 lgt lgt lgt | lgt 0.0 SMRC1:Santa Margarita 0.2 lgt lgt lgt | lgt 0.0 NIPC1:Lopez Lake 0.2 lgt 0.1 lgt | 0.0 0.0 1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.05-0.15 0.05-0.25 Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5% 20% Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5% Peak rates expected to occur between: 1600-2000 Chance of Thunderstorms: 0% && 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16 Santa Barbara County... SIYC1:Santa Maria 0.2 lgt lgt lgt | lgt 0.0 SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero 0.1 0.2 0.1 lgt | lgt 0.0 GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam 0.2 0.5 0.2 lgt | lgt 0.0 SMCC1:San Marcos Pass 0.2 0.6 0.2 lgt | lgt 0.0 SBFC1:Santa Barbara City 0.2 0.5 0.2 lgt | lgt 0.0 1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.20-0.40 0.25-0.50 Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 25% 40% Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5% Peak rates expected to occur between: 1800-2300 Chance of Thunderstorms: 0% && 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16 Ventura County... FGWC1:Fagan Canyon 0.1 0.4 0.2 lgt | lgt 0.0 HRCC1:Hopper Canyon 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 | 0.2 0.0 MTDC1:Matilija Dam 0.2 0.6 0.3 lgt | lgt 0.0 VTUC1:Ventura City lgt 0.3 0.2 lgt | lgt 0.0 MORC1:Moorpark lgt 0.2 0.2 lgt | 0.1 lgt CRXC1:Circle X Ranch 0.1 0.3 0.3 lgt | lgt lgt 1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.10-0.25 0.25-0.50 Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 10% 40% Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5% Peak rates expected to occur between: 2000-0200 Chance of Thunderstorms: 0% && 16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16 Los Angeles County... WFKC1:West Fork Heliport 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 | 0.2 lgt BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam lgt 0.2 0.5 0.3 | 0.3 lgt PCDC1:Pacoima Dam 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 | 0.2 lgt FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge lgt 0.2 0.4 0.2 | 0.2 lgt SAUC1:Saugus lgt 0.1 0.2 0.2 | lgt lgt CQT:Downtown LA lgt lgt 0.2 0.1 | 0.2 lgt MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa lgt 0.3 0.3 0.1 | 0.1 0.0 1-Hr Rates: Coasts/Valleys Foothills/Mountains Expected Peak (in/hr): 0.10-0.25 0.25-0.50 Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5% 35% Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5% <5% Peak rates expected to occur between: 2100-0500 Chance of Thunderstorms: 0% && DISCUSSION: Light to moderate rain will move across the area through Friday afternoon. Additional rainfall through the week will likely fall in the 0.25 to 1.00 inch range, except 1 to 2 inches in the favored mountains and foothills. Rain rates should generally stay under 0.25 inches per hour, except for rates between 0.25 and 0.50 inches per hour in the favored mountains and foothills. Thunderstorm chances are small. Snow levels are high. Impacts should be generally minimal. Dry conditions should follow Friday night through Tuesday, except for some rain and snow showers Friday Night on the northern slopes. Another storm system will impact the area next week between Wednesday and Friday. There is a growing potential for a moderate to strong storm. $$