####018003783####
FGUS54 KTUA 011848

RVFICT



RIVER FORECAST

NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK

146 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2024



THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER

FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS

WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.



: FORECAST GROUP IS Lower Neosho

:

: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.

:

:*******************************************************************

:ERIE, KS - NEOSHO RIVER

:ZERO DATUM 851.02 FT (NGVD29)

:ACTION STAGE     27.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      29.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE   32.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      36.0 FT

:

:LATEST ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE IS 29.5 FT AT 100 PM CDT ON MAY 01

.ER EREK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 0501 :                 /  27.0 /  23.5 

.E2    : 0502 : /  21.2 /  19.2 /  18.1 /  17.1 

.E3    : 0503 : /  16.1 /  15.5 /  14.9 /  14.3 

.E4    : 0504 : /  13.9 /  13.7 /  13.5 /  13.3 

.E5    : 0505 : /  13.1 /  12.9 /  12.9 /  12.8 

.E6    : 0506 : /  12.7 /  12.6 

.ER EREK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6

:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 0501 :                 /  0.02 /  0.18 

.E2    : 0502 : /  0.03 /  0.19 

.AR EREK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.42

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:*******************************************************************

:PARSONS, KS - NEOSHO RIVER

:ZERO DATUM 810.25 FT (NGVD29)

:ACTION STAGE     19.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      21.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE   23.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      32.0 FT

:

:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 27.0 FT AT 100 PM CDT ON MAY 01

:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10PM CDT ON 05/02/2024

.ER PPFK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 0501 :                 /  26.8 /  26.4 

.E2    : 0502 : /  26.0 /  25.3 /  23.2 /  20.3 

.E3    : 0503 : /  17.2 /  14.4 /  13.0 /  12.4 

.E4    : 0504 : /  11.9 /  11.4 /  11.0 /  10.7 

.E5    : 0505 : /  10.4 /  10.2 /   9.9 /   9.6 

.E6    : 0506 : /   9.4 /   9.2 

.ER PPFK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6

:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 0501 :                 /  0.01 /  0.07 

.E2    : 0502 : /  0.01 /  0.13 

.AR PPFK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.22

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:Crested.

:*******************************************************************

:OSWEGO, KS - NEOSHO RIVER

:ZERO DATUM 790.86 FT (NGVD29)

:ACTION STAGE     15.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      17.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE   20.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      25.0 FT

:

:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 23.3 FT AT 1200 PM CDT ON MAY 01

:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 4AM CDT ON 05/03/2024

.ER OSWK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 0501 :                 /  23.2 /  23.0 

.E2    : 0502 : /  22.9 /  21.7 /  20.4 /  17.7 

.E3    : 0503 : /  14.6 /  12.0 /  10.5 /  10.0 

.E4    : 0504 : /   9.5 /   9.2 /   8.8 /   8.6 

.E5    : 0505 : /   8.2 /   8.0 /   7.9 /   7.9 

.E6    : 0506 : /   7.8 /   7.8 

.ER OSWK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6

:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 0501 :                 /  0.01 /  0.04 

.E2    : 0502 : /  0.01 /  0.09 

.AR OSWK1 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.15

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:Crested.

:*******************************************************************

:

.AR TUA 0501 C DT202405011346/YIIRZ  22 : aad

:

$$

:

:River forecasts with zero forecast rainfall and other contingencies

:available at https://www.weather.gov/source/abrfc/RawModel

:

:...END of MESSAGE...

####018001809####
FGUS54 KTUA 011849

RVFTSA



RIVER FORECAST

NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK

146 PM CDT WED MAY 1 2024



THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER

FORECAST CENTER.  PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS

WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.



: FORECAST GROUP IS Lower Neosho

:

: FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS.

:

:*******************************************************************

:COMMERCE, OK - NEOSHO RIVER

:ZERO DATUM 748.97 FT (NGVD29)

:ACTION STAGE     14.0 FT       MINOR STAGE      15.0 FT

:MODERATE STAGE   18.0 FT       MAJOR STAGE      24.0 FT

:

:LATEST RIVER STAGE  IS 19.4 FT AT 130 PM CDT ON MAY 01

.AR :CREST: COMO2 0502 C DC202405011346/DH07/HGIFFXZ 19.8

:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 10AM CDT ON 05/04/2024

.ER COMO2 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6

:RIVER FORECAST/   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 0501 :                 /  19.5 /  19.7 

.E2    : 0502 : /  19.8 /  19.8 /  19.8 /  19.7 

.E3    : 0503 : /  19.6 /  19.5 /  19.2 /  18.6 

.E4    : 0504 : /  16.5 /  12.3 /   7.0 /   5.9 

.E5    : 0505 : /   5.7 /   5.6 /   5.3 /   5.1 

.E6    : 0506 : /   4.8 /   4.6 

.ER COMO2 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/PPQFZ/DIH6

:QPF FORECAST /   7AM /   1PM /   7PM /   1AM 

.E1    : 0501 :                 /  0.00 /  0.05 

.E2    : 0502 : /  0.02 /  0.08 

.AR COMO2 0501 C DC202405011346/DH19/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.15

:

:FORECASTER COMMENTS...

:

:*******************************************************************

:

.AR TUA 0501 C DT202405011346/YIIRZ  22 : aad

:

$$

:

:River forecasts with zero forecast rainfall and other contingencies

:available at https://www.weather.gov/source/abrfc/RawModel

:

:...END of MESSAGE...