####018005461####
FGUS53 KKRF 081845

RVFOSG



RIVER FORECAST

NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO

1845Z Wed May 8 2024

:

: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.

: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.



:    FORECAST GROUP IS OSAGE



:                ***    AFTERNOON FORECAST    ***



: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==



RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T

LITTLE OSAGE RIVER 

  HORTON MO 1N           41.0   43.2   CREST NEAR 43.6 FT 05/09 AM

SOUTH GRAND RIVER 

  URICH MO 1S            24.0   18.1   CREST NEAR 23.0 FT 05/09 AM

BIG CREEK 

  BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW      20.0   24.6   CREST NEAR 24.8 FT 05/08 PM





:________________________________________________________________



:HORTON MO 1N - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF

:FLOOD STAGE 41.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 39.0 FT

:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 50.0 FT

:LATEST RIVER STAGE 43.2 FT AT 1745Z ON 0508



:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:   0508   /  42.1 /  42.6 /  42.9 /  43.2 



.AR : CREST : HTNM7 20240509 Z DC202405081844/DH12/HGIFFX 43.6

: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/10/2024 AROUND 11Z

.ER HTNM7 20240509 Z DC202405081844/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6

:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

.E1 : 0509 : /  43.5 /  43.6 /  43.6 /  43.6 

.E2 : 0510 : /  43.2 /  42.5 /  40.9 /  39.3 

.E3 : 0511 : /  37.9 /  36.3 /  35.3 /  34.6 

.E4 : 0512 : /  33.9 /  33.0 /  32.2 /  32.1 

.E5 : 0513 : /  31.9 /  31.7 /  31.6 /  31.5 



:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):

:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:    0508  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.13 

:

:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total

: QPE Total Ending May 08:   0.13  inches

:

:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs):

:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:    0509  /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 

:

:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total

: QPF Total Ending May 09:   0.08  inches



:________________________________________________________________



:URICH MO 1S - SOUTH GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX

:FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT

:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT

:LATEST RIVER STAGE 18.1 FT AT 1815Z ON 0508



:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:   0507   /  21.3 /  18.8 /  15.9 /  17.7 



.AR : CREST : URHM7 20240509 Z DC202405081844/DH06/HGIFFX 23.0

.ER URHM7 20240509 Z DC202405081844/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6

:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

.E1 : 0509 : /  22.0 /  23.0 /  21.6 /  18.3 

.E2 : 0510 : /  15.9 /  14.4 /  13.4 /  12.3 

.E3 : 0511 : /  11.6 /  11.1 /  10.6 /  10.1 

.E4 : 0512 : /   9.7 /   9.4 /   9.0 /   8.7 

.E5 : 0513 : /   8.4 /   8.2 /   8.0 /   7.9 



:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):

:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:    0508  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.12 /  0.78 

:

:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total

: QPE Total Ending May 08:   0.90  inches

:

:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs):

:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:    0509  /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 

:

:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total

: QPF Total Ending May 09:   0.04  inches



:________________________________________________________________



:BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW - BIG CREEK     HSA - EAX

:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT

:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT

:LATEST RIVER STAGE 24.6 FT AT 1800Z ON 0508



:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:   0508   /  19.9 /  18.8 /  18.0 /  24.6 



.AR : CREST : BLRM7 20240509 Z DC202405081844/DH00/HGIFFX 24.8

: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/10/2024 AROUND 11Z

.ER BLRM7 20240509 Z DC202405081844/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6

:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

.E1 : 0509 : /  24.8 /  24.7 /  24.4 /  23.4 

.E2 : 0510 : /  21.7 /  20.4 /  19.9 /  19.0 

.E3 : 0511 : /  17.2 /  15.8 /  15.3 /  15.3 

.E4 : 0512 : /  15.4 /  15.4 /  15.4 /  15.2 

.E5 : 0513 : /  14.9 /  14.4 /  14.0 /  13.6 



:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):

:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:    0508  /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.63 /  0.74 

:

:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total

: QPE Total Ending May 08:   1.38  inches

:

:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 24 hrs):

:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z

:    0509  /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 

:

:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total

: QPF Total Ending May 09:   0.03  inches



:*****************************************************************

:COMMENT

:

:

:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area

:WFO -        Weather Forecast Office

:SGF -        NWS WFO Springfield, Missouri

:EAX -        NWS WFO Pleasant Hill, Missouri

:OBS -        Observed

:EST -        Estimated

:M -          Missing

:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation

:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation

:Precip -     Precipitation

:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation

:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin

:

:

$$

: sdd

:...END of MESSAGE...