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WWIN40 DEMS 260300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 26-04-2024



METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH IRAN

&

NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW LIES OVER SOUTH IRAN & ADJOINING SOUTH PAKISTAN

BETWEEN

3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN UPPER

TROPOSPHERIC

WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG

LONG.

60OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 18ON.

 AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER WEST RAJASTHAN AND EXTENDS

UPTO 1.5

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD

PERSISTS AND

NOW SEEN AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER NORTH BANGLADESH AT 0.9 KM ABOVE

MEAN SEA

LEVEL.

A TROUGH RUNS FROM ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH

TO

NORTH ODISHA ACROSS GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA

LEVEL.

 THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM MARATHWADA & ADJOINING MADHYA

MAHARASHTRA TO NORTH COASTAL TAMIL NADU NOW RUNS FROM MARATHWADA TO

NORTH TAMIL NADU ACROSS INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM

ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER MARATHWADA & ADJOINING MADHYA

MAHARASHTRA AT

0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS MERGED WITH THE ABOVE TROUGH.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH MADHYA PRADESH

&

NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL

PARTS

OF SOUTH MADHYA PRADESH TO SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA ACROSS VIDARBHA

&

MARATHWADA AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.



RAINFALL FORECAST:

AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU

ZAFFARABAD;

 AT MANY PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND HIMACHAL PRADESH;

 AT A FEW PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR,

MIZORAM & TRIPURA,

UTTARAKHAND AND PUNJAB;

 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, SUB-HIMALAYAN

WEST BENGAL

& SIKKIM, ODISHA, BIHAR, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-D

ELHI,

RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT STATE, MAHARASHTRA & GOA,

CHHATTISGARH,

COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND KERALA & MAHE;

 DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY.



WEATHER WARNINGS:

26 APRIL (DAY 1):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING

50-60 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST

MADHYA

PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH)

& HAILSTORM

AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER PUNJAB, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH AND EAST

RAJASTHAN;

WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) &

HAILSTORM AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU

ZAFFARABAD

AND HIMACHAL PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING & HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED

PLACES OVER

MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND MARATHWADA; WITH LIGHTNING & SQUALLY WINDS

(SPEED

REACHING 50-60 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA

AND

NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS

(SPEED

REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND, WEST UTTAR

PRADESH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, GUJARAT REGION

AND

COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES

OVER

ODISHA, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.

 THUNDERSTORM/DUSTSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS

(SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST

RAJASTHAN.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA,

TRIPURA, KONKAN & GOA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM,

COASTAL KARNATAKA,

KERALA & MAHE AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.

 HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT

MANY

PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND NORTH ODISHA; IN ISOLATED

POCKETS

OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED

POCKETS

OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA,

INTERIOR

KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA &

MAHE.



27 APRIL (DAY 2):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

40-50

KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL

PRADESH,

PUNJAB, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH AND MADHYA PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING &

GUSTY

WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

CHHATTISGARH; WITH

LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED

PLACES OVER

UTTARAKHAND, VIDARBHA, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR,

MIZORAM &

TRIPURA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND MARATHWADA; WITH LIGHTNING AT

ISOLATED

PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD,

ODISHA AND

ARUNACHAL PRADESH.

 HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-

GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA,

TRIPURA, KONKAN & GOA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM,

COASTAL KARNATAKA,

KERALA & MAHE AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.

 HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL AT

MANY

PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND NORTH ODISHA; IN ISOLATED

POCKETS OVER

SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS

OVER

EAST UTTAR PRADESH, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, KONKAN & GOA, TELANGANA,

RAYALASEEMA,

INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA

& MAHE.=