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WWIN40 DEMS 051200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 05-04-2024



METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:



 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH

PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH THE

TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS

AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 70OE TO THE NORTH

OF

LAT. 28ON PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT

0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM EAST VIDARBHA TO COMORIN AREA

ACROSS INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND INTERIOR TAMIL NADU AT 0.9 KM ABOVE

MEAN

SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 1.5

KM AND 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN

REGION FROM 10 TH APRIL, 2024.



RAINFALL FORECAST:



 AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH;

 AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA;

 AT A FEW PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, SUB-

HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND LAKSHADWEEP;

 AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, JHARKHAND,

UTTARAKHAND, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-

MUZAFFARABAD, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA,

MARATHWADA, CHHATTISGARH, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA &

MAHE;

 DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY.



WEATHER WARNINGS:



05 APRIL (DAY 1):

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, HAIL & GUSTY WINDS

(SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SUB-

HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS

(SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA

AND

NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY

WINDS

(SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN; WITH

LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN, ARUNACHAL PRADESH,

KERALA & MAHE AND LAKSHADWEEP.



HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES

OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH; HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ASSAM & MEGHALAYA.

 WARM NIGHT VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER ODISHA,

JHARKHAND, BIHAR, MARATHWADA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA,

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, JHARKHAND, BIHAR, VIDARBHA, NORTH INTERIOR

KARNATAKA, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA AND COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &

YANAM.

 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER KONKAN & GOA,

COASTAL KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY &

KARAIKAL.

 SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 40 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55

KMPH OVER COMORIN AREA AND ADJOINING GULF OF MANNAR. FISHERMEN ARE

ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

06 APRIL (DAY 2):

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SUB-

HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA; WITH

LIGHTNING &

GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL,

MADHYA

PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ODISHA, EAST RAJASTHAN AND KERALA & MAHE.

 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES

OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH; HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER

ASSAM &MEGHALAYA.

 WARM NIGHT VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER ODISHA,

JHARKHAND, BIHAR, MARATHWADA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

 HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA,

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, JHARKHAND, BIHAR, VIDARBHA, NORTH INTERIOR

KARNATAKA, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA AND COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &

YANAM.



 HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER KONKAN &GOA,

COASTAL KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY &

KARAIKAL.=