####018003573#### WWIN40 DEMS 101200 IWB (EVENING) DATED 10-04-2024 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 68OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 30ON. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN TO NORTHERN PARTS OF COASTAL KARNATAKA ACROSS MADHYA MAHARASHTRA & SOUTH KONKAN AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE TROUGH FROM SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN TO NORTHEAST BANGLADESH ACROSS UTTAR PRADESH, BIHAR AND SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. AN ACTIVE WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM 12TH APRIL, 2024. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT A FEW PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU ZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, MADHYA PRADESH, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, JHARKHAND, UTTAR PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 10 APRIL (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, SQUALL (SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AND HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SIKKIM AND MARATHWADA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST UTTAR PRADESH, RAJASTHAN, CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND TELANGANA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH -GILGIT-BALTISTAN- MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, ODISHA AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, SAURASHTRA & KUTCH, COASTAL KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE. 11 APRIL (DAY 2): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH AND VIDARBHA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST RAJASTHAN, CHHATTISGARH, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, BIHAR, MARATHWADA AND TELANGANA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH -GILGIT-BALTISTAN- MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, MARATHWADA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE AND COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, SAURASHTRA & KUTCH, COASTAL KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE.=