####018005295#### WWIN40 DEMS 190300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 19-04-2024 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. HOWEVER, A TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 65°E TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 22°N. THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER PAKISTAN AND ADJOINING PUNJAB EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW LIES OVER CENTRAL ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A TROUGH RUNS FROM NORTHWEST BIHAR TO ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL ASSAM AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER MARATHWADA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY NOW RUNS FROM MARATHWADA TO SOUTH TAMIL NADU ACROSS INTERIOR KARNATAKA AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM 22 ND APRIL, 2024. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM BETWEEN 1.5 KM & 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT- BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH; AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA AND KERALA & MAHE; AT FEW PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, UTTARAKHAND, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, PUNJAB, KARNATAKA AND LAKSHADWEEP; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, RAJASTHAN, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 19 APRIL (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH; WITH LIGHTNING & HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND MARATHWADA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, RAJASTHAN, CHHATTISGARH, VIDARBHA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, KERALA & MAHE, TELANGANA, KARNATAKA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU- KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, KONKAN & GOA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, LAKSHADWEEP, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND RAYALASEEMA. HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU- KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH; HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SAURASHTRA & KUTCH, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, KERALA & MAHE. HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN SOME PARTS WITH SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER ODISHA; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER JHARKHAND, SAURASHTRA & KUTCH, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA AND TELANGANA. WARM NIGHT VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH, ODISHA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND RAYALASEEMA. 20 APRIL (DAY 2): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, VIDARBHA AND CHHATTISGARH; WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, TELANGANA AND KARNATAKA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE. HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH; HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA. HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TELANGANA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA AND TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN SOME PARTS WITH SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL; HEAT WAVE TO SEVERE HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER ODISHA; HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER BIHAR AND JHARKHAND. WARM NIGHT VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN ISOLATED POCKETS OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH.