####018006716#### WWIN40 DEMS 100300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 10-05-2024 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE Western Disturbance now seen as a cyclonic circulation over Iran at 3.1 km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in middle tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along long. 58°E to the north of lat. 26°N. The cyclonic circulation over northeast Assam & neighbourhood persists and now seen between 1.5 & 3.1 km above mean sea level. The cyclonic circulation over northwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood persists and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level. An east-west trough runs from above cyclonic circulation over northwest Rajasthan to south Assam across Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand & Gangetic West Bengal at 0.9 km above mean sea level. A cyclonic circulation lies over north Bihar & neighbourhood at 3.1 km above mean sea level. A trough runs from above cyclonic circulation over north Bihar to north Odisha across Jharkhand & Gangetic West Bengal at 3.1 km above mean sea level. A cyclonic circulation lies over central Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level. A cyclonic circulation lies over south Kerala & neighbourhood and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level. The cyclonic circulation over northeast Arabian sea now lies over northeast Arabian sea off Gujarat coast at 1.5 km above mean sea level. The cyclonic circulation over east Bangladesh & neighbourhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked. The cyclonic circulation over northeast Rajasthan & neighbourhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked. The cyclonic circulation over Madhya Maharashtra & neighbourhood extending upto 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked. The trough from Madhya Maharashtra to South Interior Karnataka across North Interior Karnataka extending upto 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked. The trough from northwest Rajasthan to west Vidarbha across West Madhya Pradesh at 0.9 km above mean sea level has become less marked. The trough from east Assam to north Odisha across Gangetic West Bengal at 0.9 km above mean sea level has become less marked. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM; GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, BIHAR. AT MANY PLACES OVER Andaman & Nicobar Islands, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Gangetic West Bengal, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, Interior Karnataka and Kerala & Mahe; AT A FEW PLACES OVER Odisha. Jharkhand, Bihar, Punjab, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL KARNATAKA AND LAKSHADWEEP; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, RAJASTHAN, Chhattisgarh, MADHYA PRADESH, Gujarat Region, VIDARBHA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA AND RAYALASEEMA. DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY. WEATHER WARNINGS: 10 MAY (DAY 1): Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning, gusty winds (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) & hailstorm very likely at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh, Haryana-Chandigarh and Punjab; with lightning, gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) & hailstorm at isolated places over Uttarakhand; with lightning, gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) & hailstorm at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh and East Rajasthan; with lightning & hailstorm at isolated places over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) at isolated places Gangetic West Bengal; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) at isolated places over Bihar, Jharkhand, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Punjab, Kerala & Mahe, Interior Karnataka; with lightning, gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Telangana; with lightning at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh and Lakshadweep. Dust Storm/Thunderstorm with gusty winds (speed 40-50 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Rajasthan; with gusty winds (speed 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over in isolated pockets over Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi and Uttar Pradesh. Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Odisha, Assam & Meghalaya, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe and South Interior Karnataka. Hot and humid weather very likely to prevail over Saurashtra & Kutch and Kerala. Heat wave conditions very likely to prevail in some parts over West Rajasthan. 11 MAY (DAY 2): Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning, gusty winds (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) & hailstorm very likely at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh, Haryana-Chandigarh and Punjab; with lightning, gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) & hailstorm at isolated places over Uttarakhand; with lightning, gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) & hailstorm at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh and East Rajasthan; with lightning & hailstorm at isolated places over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 50-60 kmph) at isolated places Gangetic West Bengal; with lightning & gusty winds (speed reaching 40-50 kmph) at isolated places over Bihar, Jharkhand, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Punjab, Kerala & Mahe, Interior Karnataka; with lightning, gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Telangana; with lightning at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh and Lakshadweep. Dust Storm/Thunderstorm with gusty winds (speed 40-50 kmph) very likely at isolated places over Rajasthan; with gusty winds (speed 30-40 kmph) at isolated places over in isolated pockets over Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi and Uttar Pradesh. Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Odisha, Assam & Meghalaya, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe and South Interior Karnataka. Hot and humid weather very likely to prevail over Saurashtra & Kutch and Kerala. Heat wave conditions very likely to prevail in some parts over West Rajasthan.