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WWIN40 DEMS 101200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 10-05-2024

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER IRAN AT 3.1 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH

THE TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT

5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 60OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 26ON PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN

1.5 & 3.1 KM ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD

EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE EAST-WEST TROUGH FROM ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST

RAJASTHAN TO SOUTH ASSAM

ACROSS MADHYA PRADESH, JHARKHAND & GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AT 0.9 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BIHAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL

PERSISTS.

THE TROUGH FROM ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BIHAR TO NORTH

ODISHA ACROSS JHARKHAND

& GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD

AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN

SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH KERALA & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING

UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN

SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF GUJARAT COAST

AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA

LEVEL PERSISTS.

RAINFALL FORECAST:

AT MOST PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM; GANGETIC WEST

BENGAL, BIHAR.

AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH,

ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND,

MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM,

GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, UTTARAKHAND,

HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD,

INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA &

MAHE;

AT A FEW PLACES OVER ODISHA. JHARKHAND, BIHAR, PUNJAB, MADHYA

MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, TAMIL NADU,

PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL KARNATAKA AND LAKSHADWEEP;

AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI,

RAJASTHAN, CHHATTISGARH, MADHYA

PRADESH, GUJARAT REGION, VIDARBHA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM,

TELANGANA AND RAYALASEEMA.

DRY WEATHER OVER REST PART OF THE COUNTRY.

WEATHER WARNINGS:

10 MAY (DAY 1):

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

50-60 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER MADHYA PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH AND PUNJAB;

WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) & HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND;

WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 30-40 KMPH) & HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL

PRADESH AND EAST RAJASTHAN; WITH LIGHTNING &

HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH

-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY

WINDS (SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES GANGETIC WEST

BENGAL; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, ASSAM

& MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR,

MIZORAM & TRIPURA, PUNJAB, KERALA & MAHE, INTERIOR KARNATAKA; WITH

LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40

KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, SUB-HIMALAYAN

WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, MADHYA

MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL

ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA,

TELANGANA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH

AND LAKSHADWEEP.

DUST STORM/THUNDERSTORM WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH) VERY

LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN; WITH

GUSTY WINDS (SPEED 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER IN ISOLATED

POCKETS OVER HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND UTTAR

PRADESH.

HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA, ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL,

KERALA & MAHE AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SAURASHTRA & KUTCH

AND KERALA.

HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN SOME PARTS OVER WEST

RAJASTHAN.

11 MAY (DAY 2):

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING

50-60 KMPH) & HAILSTORM VERY LIKELY AT

ISOLATED PLACES OVER MADHYA PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH AND PUNJAB;

WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) & HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND;

WITH LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 30-40 KMPH) & HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HIMACHAL

PRADESH AND EAST RAJASTHAN; WITH LIGHTNING &

HAILSTORM AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH

-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY

WINDS (SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES GANGETIC WEST

BENGAL; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED

REACHING 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND, ASSAM

& MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR,

MIZORAM & TRIPURA, PUNJAB, KERALA & MAHE, INTERIOR KARNATAKA; WITH

LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40

KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, SUB-HIMALAYAN

WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, MADHYA

MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, COASTAL

ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA,

TELANGANA; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH

AND LAKSHADWEEP.

DUST STORM/THUNDERSTORM WITH GUSTY WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH) VERY

LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN; WITH

GUSTY WINDS (SPEED 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER IN ISOLATED

POCKETS OVER HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND UTTAR

PRADESH.

HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA, ASSAM &

MEGHALAYA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL,

KERALA & MAHE AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SAURASHTRA & KUTCH

AND KERALA.

HEAT WAVE CONDITIONS VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL IN SOME PARTS OVER WEST

RAJASTHAN.=