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ACUS01 KWNS 261602

SWODY1

SPC AC 261601



Day 1 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1101 AM CDT Tue Mar 26 2024



Valid 261630Z - 271200Z



...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON

OVER PORTIONS OF LOWER MICHIGAN...EASTERN INDIANA...AND WESTERN

OHIO....



...SUMMARY...

Damaging wind gusts are possible today over parts of the Lower

Michigan/southern Great Lakes region, and the eastern Gulf Coastal

Plain.



...FL Panhandle and Vicinity...

A surface cold front continues to sag southward across parts of AL

and the FL Panhandle.  Scattered thunderstorms are occurring along

the front (mainly offshore), with occasional updrafts showing some

organization.  It is expected that the bulk of this activity will

remain offshore due to widespread clouds and limited destabilization

inland.  However, there is some chance of a strong storm or two this

afternoon.  After dark, most model guidance suggest the frontal

convection will strengthen, with a continued risk of a few strong

storms into north FL.



...Lower MI/IN/Western OH...

A strong cold front is sweeping eastward into western IN late this

morning, and will move across Lower MI/IN/western OH through the

day.  Widespread clouds and meager low-level moisture ahead of the

front will limit destabilization, with forecast soundings suggesting

the convective layer may remain too shallow to support much

lightning.  Nevertheless, strong winds just above the surface

coupled with cold temperatures aloft may be sufficient for a few

strong storms later today, capable of damaging wind gusts.  The time

period of greatest concern should roughly be from 22-02z.



..Hart/Thornton.. 03/26/2024



$$