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ACUS48 KWNS 070850

SWOD48

SPC AC 070848



Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0348 AM CDT Tue May 07 2024



Valid 101200Z - 151200Z



...DISCUSSION...

Isolated severe potential on Day 4/Friday should remain confined to

parts of north FL and vicinity along/ahead of a cold front. The

overall environment and limited spatial extent of the threat does

not appear sufficient to justify including a 15% severe area at this

time. Generally low severe potential is anticipated on Day

5/Saturday, although some strong thunderstorms may still occur

across parts of the FL Peninsula where the cold front stalls.

Guidance generally indicates low-level moisture should attempt to

return northward across parts of the southern Plains around Day

6/Sunday and continuing into early next week. But, generally zonal

mid-level flow across this region, with a weak upper low over the

Great Basin/Southwest, suggests that whatever severe potential

ultimately develops across the southern Plains may tend to remain

fairly isolated.



..Gleason.. 05/07/2024