####018001544####
ACUS48 KWNS 010848

SWOD48

SPC AC 010846



Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0346 AM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024



Valid 041200Z - 091200Z



...DISCUSSION...

...Thursday/Day 4 to Saturday/Day 6...

An upper-level low will move across the Northeast on Thursday and

Friday, and into the western Atlantic on Saturday. During this

period at the end of the week, an upper-level ridge is forecast to

move through the central U.S. At the surface, a large area of high

pressure is forecast to move from the central U.S. to the eastern

states. Due to relatively dry and stable air, severe thunderstorms

appear unlikely across most of the continental U.S. through

Saturday. The greatest chance of thunderstorms would be in the

southern and central Plains on Saturday evening, as weak moisture

advection occurs in the Great Plains and an upper-level trough

approaches from the southwest.



...Sunday/Day 7 and Monday/Day 8...

Moisture advection is forecast to take place ahead of an upper-level

trough over the southern Plains and Ark-La-Tex on Sunday and Monday.

An isolated severe threat could develop each afternoon across the

moist sector, which should be in the southern Plains. The models

suggest that instability will remain weak across this moist airmass,

which would limit severe threat coverage in most areas.

Predictability concerning the spacing of any potential threat

remains low at this time, mainly due to the extended range.



..Broyles.. 04/01/2024