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ACUS02 KWNS 021756

SWODY2

SPC AC 021754



Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1254 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024



Valid 031200Z - 041200Z



...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE

CHESAPEAKE BAY REGION TO FLORIDA...



CORRECTED SLIGHT RISK LINE



...SUMMARY...

Strong/severe storms -- capable of producing hail and damaging

winds, and possibly a tornado or two -- will be possible on

Wednesday from the Chesapeake Bay region to Florida.



...Chesapeake Bay area southeastward to FLorida...

Widespread thunderstorms are forecast to be ongoing at the start of

the period, ahead of an advancing cold front, from the Mid-Atlantic

region southward to Florida.  The convection will make steady

eastward progress through the day, in tandem with the frontal

advance, with storms moving off South Carolina and Georgia coasts

through midday, but lingering across southeastern Virginia and

eastern North Carolina into the afternoon.  While instability will

remain modest, a very favorable kinematic environment will remain in

place, with respect to organized/severe storms.  As such, potential

for locally damaging winds and marginal hail is expected with

stronger storms.  Additional, a couple of tornadoes may also occur,

with greatest potential expected from southeastern Virginia to

northeastern South Carolina.



Farther to the south over Florida, storms will move slowly eastward

across northern and central portions of the Peninsula through the

day.  Sufficient instability expected ahead of the front should

maintain widespread storms, with shear sufficient for organized

convection.  As a result, damaging wind gusts locally, along with

potential for marginal hail, will likely linger through the day,

shifting gradually southward before convection weakens toward

evening.



..Goss.. 04/02/2024



$$