####018002305#### WTPZ25 KNHC 081431 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 1500 UTC SUN OCT 08 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 112.8W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 80SE 100SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 150SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 112.8W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 112.8W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.6N 112.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 40SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.3N 112.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.0N 110.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 80SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.9N 108.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 15SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.3N 106.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 23.0N 103.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 112.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI