####018002214#### WTNT22 KNHC 240837 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 41.4W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 41.4W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 40.8W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.9N 43.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.3N 45.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.7N 47.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.3N 49.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.1N 50.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.2N 52.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 22.4N 54.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 24.2N 55.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 41.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY