####018001902#### WTPZ24 KNHC 241439 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142023 1500 UTC SUN SEP 24 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.9W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 123.9W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 123.4W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.2N 126.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.1N 128.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.7N 131.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.1N 133.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.3N 136.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.6N 140.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 10.8N 146.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 123.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS ####018002214#### WTNT22 KNHC 241439 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 1500 UTC SUN SEP 24 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 41.7W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 41.7W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 41.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.5N 43.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.9N 45.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.4N 47.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 49.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.9N 51.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 20SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.0N 52.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 30SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 22.5N 54.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 24.0N 55.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 41.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE