####018002563#### WTPZ22 KNHC 182048 TCMEP2 HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023 2100 UTC WED OCT 18 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 108.0W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..135NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 108.0W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 107.9W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.6N 108.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.7N 108.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.7N 108.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.6N 109.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.8N 109.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.1N 110.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.7N 109.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 24.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 108.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART