####018002302#### WTNT22 KNHC 022054 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 2100 UTC MON OCT 02 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 61.5W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 61.5W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 61.1W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.2N 62.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.1N 62.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 130SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.6N 63.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.2N 63.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.9N 63.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 26.0N 63.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 30.6N 62.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 35.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 61.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEVENSON