####018002296#### WTPZ24 KNHC 010835 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023 0900 UTC WED NOV 01 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 89.9W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 75SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 89.9W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 89.6W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.1N 90.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 11.7N 92.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 11.0N 95.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 10.2N 98.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 9.6N 101.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 9.2N 103.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 9.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 10.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 89.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 01/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART