####018002176#### WTNT22 KNHC 260840 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 0900 UTC TUE SEP 26 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 49.0W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......130NE 150SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 30SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 49.0W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 48.5W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.2N 50.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.1N 52.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.1N 53.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 55.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.6N 56.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.9N 58.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 21.8N 60.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 21.8N 63.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 49.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH