####018002140#### WTNT22 KNHC 270236 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 52.0W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 170SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 120SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 52.0W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 51.5W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.9N 53.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.8N 55.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.4N 56.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.8N 58.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 59.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N 61.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 20.1N 64.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 20.2N 67.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 52.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN