####018002188#### WTNT22 KNHC 271451 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 1500 UTC WED SEP 27 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 53.7W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 170SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 53.7W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 53.0W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 54.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.6N 56.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.0N 57.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.0N 59.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.9N 60.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.7N 62.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 18.4N 64.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 18.1N 66.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 53.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY