####018002198#### WTNT22 KNHC 280900 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 0900 UTC THU SEP 28 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 54.6W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 54.6W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 54.4W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.1N 55.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.3N 56.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.2N 56.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.9N 57.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 10NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.5N 57.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N 58.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 18.2N 59.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 19.0N 60.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 54.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI