####018002324#### WTNT22 KNHC 010243 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 0300 UTC SUN OCT 01 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 57.0W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......110NE 130SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..135NE 135SE 30SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 57.0W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 56.8W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.5N 57.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.1N 58.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 59.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.6N 60.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.6N 61.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.1N 61.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 24.8N 61.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.5N 59.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 57.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH