####018002430#### WTPZ25 KNHC 052035 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 2100 UTC THU OCT 05 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.9W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.9W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.8W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.1N 110.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.2N 111.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.2N 112.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.4N 113.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.0N 113.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 113.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.3N 113.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 18.8N 111.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 109.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY