####018002412#### WTPZ25 KNHC 070830 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 0900 UTC SAT OCT 07 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 111.9W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 105SE 105SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 111.9W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 111.7W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.1N 112.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.6N 112.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.3N 112.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.9N 112.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N 111.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.2N 110.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 21.0N 106.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 24.0N 102.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 111.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE