####018002429#### WTPZ25 KNHC 071442 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 1500 UTC SAT OCT 07 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 112.2W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 112.2W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 112.1W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.5N 112.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.1N 112.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 80SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.9N 112.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N 112.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.1N 110.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.8N 109.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 21.6N 105.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.9N 102.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 112.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HOGSETT/BERG