####018002628#### WTPZ34 KNHC 290833 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen-E Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192023 400 AM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES CENTRAL AMERICA... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO BE THE MAIN THREAT... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.0N 93.1W ABOUT 320 MI...520 KM SW OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in El Salvador and southern Guatemala should monitor the progress of this system as watches will likely be required later today. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen-E was located near latitude 11.0 North, longitude 93.1 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). The system is forecast to begin moving northeastward by tonight, and it could be near the coast of El Salvador or Guatemala on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the system could be near hurricane strength in a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP4.shtml RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, in and near much of the Pacific coast of Central America, including the country of El Salvador, through Wednesday. This rainfall will produce flash and urban flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher terrain. SURF: Swells generated by the depression are expected to reach portions of the Pacific coast of Central America on Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi