####018003157####
WTPZ34 KNHC 011747

TCPEP4

 

BULLETIN

Tropical Storm Pilar Intermediate Advisory Number 16A

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192023

100 PM CDT Wed Nov 01 2023

 

...PILAR MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE WEST....

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING STILL A THREAT OVER PORTIONS

OF CENTRAL AMERICA...

 

 

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.4N 91.2W

ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM WSW OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR

ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSW OF PUERTO SAN JOSE GUATEMALA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES

 

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

 

None

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

 

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Entire coast of El Salvador

 

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are

possible within the watch area.

 

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor

products issued by your national meteorological service.

 

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pilar was

located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 91.2 West. Pilar is

moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A faster west-

southwestward motion is expected by tonight or early Thursday, and 

that motion should continue into Saturday. On the forecast track, 

the center of Pilar will continue to move away from the coast of 

Central America this afternoon and tonight.

 

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher

gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of

days.

 

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)

from the center.

 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

 

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key messages for Pilar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone

Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC

and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP4.shtml

 

RAINFALL:  Pilar is expected to produce additional rainfall of 2 to

4 inches, with local amounts to 6 inches, for portions of Central

America from southern El Salvador, across southern Honduras, western

Nicaragua, and northern Costa Rica through today. The additional

rainfall will likely produce flash and urban flooding, along with

mudslides in areas of higher terrain.

 

SURF:  Swells generated by Pilar are expected to continue affecting

the Pacific coast of Central America during the next couple of days.

These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip

current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather

office.

 

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the Tropical

Storm Watch area in El Salvador through this afternoon.

 

 

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

 

$$

Forecaster Brown