####018002235####
WTNT31 KNHC 240232

TCPAT1

 

BULLETIN

Tropical Depression Twenty-One Advisory Number   2

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL212023

1100 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2023

 

...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF

NICARAGUA...

...HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT...

 

 

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...12.4N 83.4W

ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NE OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

 

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

Interests along the coast of Nicaragua should monitor the progress

of this system.

 

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression

Twenty-One was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 83.4

West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7

km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. On the 

forecast track, the depression will move inland over the next few 

hours over eastern Nicaragua.

 

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.

Little change in strength is forecast. The depression is forecast 

to dissipate inland over Nicaragua tomorrow.

 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

 

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

Key messages for Tropical Depression Twenty-One can be found in the

Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO

header WTNT41 KNHC.

 

RAINFALL:  The tropical depression is expected to produce additional

rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with maximum amounts of 12 inches

across Nicaragua and 2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches

across southern and eastern Honduras. These rains are likely to

produce flash and urban flooding, along with mudslides in areas of

higher terrain.

 

 

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

 

$$

Forecaster D. Zelinsky