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WTIN20 DEMS 030600

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI

                      TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 03.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 03.04.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 03.04.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH OF LATITUDE 100

NORTH.

     PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:





       24             24-48        48-72          72-96           96-120     120-144   144-168

      HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS           HOURS       HOURS     HOURS

       NIL            NIL           NIL            NIL             NIL        NIL       NIL

    NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERALA COAST &

COMORIN AREA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED

ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA.

     PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



        24           24-48       48-72         72-96          96-120    120-144 144-168

       HOURS         HOURS        HOURS        HOURS          HOURS      HOURS   HOURS

        NIL          NIL          NIL           NIL            NIL       NIL   NIL

    NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

 REMARKS: NIL.