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WTIN20 DEMS 060705



                  TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 06.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

06.04.2024

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 06.04.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH

ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER REST BAY OF

BENGAL & NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

24           24-48         48-72          72-96           96-120

120-144   144-168

HOURS        HOURS         HOURS          HOURS           HOURS

HOURS    HOURS

NIL           NIL          NIL            NIL              NIL

NIL       NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM

CLOUDS

WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL

ARABIAN SEA OFF KARNATAKA COAST & LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA. SCATTERED

LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER REST OF ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

 24           24-48         48-72          72-96           96-120

120-144      144-168

HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS           HOURS

HOURS      HOURS

 NIL            NIL           NIL            NIL             NIL

NIL        NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=