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WTIN20 DEMS 090643

 REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW

DELHI

                                       TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 09.04.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

09.04.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 09.04.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO

VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING EQUTORIAL

INDIAN

OCEAN BETWEEN EQUATOR TO LATITUDE 7.0N LONGITUDE 83.0E TO 93.0E

PERSISTS

DURING LAST 12 HRS. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 80 DEGREE

CELSIUS.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

      PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING

NEXT 168 HRS:

          24            24-48        48-72          72-96

96-120    120-144 144-168

       HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS

HOURS     HOURS   HOURS

           NIL           NIL          NIL           NIL

NIL       NIL   NIL

      NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF

NEXT DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK

CONVECTION

LAY OVER EXTREME NORTH OF ARABIAN SEA.

      PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING

NEXT 168 HRS:

          24            24-48        48-72          72-96

96-120    120-144 144-168

       HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS

HOURS     HOURS   HOURS

          NIL           NIL           NIL            NIL

NIL       NIL   NIL

      NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF

NEXT DAY

 REMARKS: NIL.=